Global markets remain volatile as investors weigh persistent inflation pressures, geopolitical developments across the Middle East, changing interest rate expectations and continued investment in Artificial Intelligence and technology.
Bonds:
Global bond markets remain sensitive to inflation data and expectations around the future direction of central bank policy.
US Treasury yields eased late in August as oil prices retreated and investors looked ahead to further US inflation data, although longer-term yields remain elevated.
Australian bond markets are also responding closely to domestic inflation and interest rate expectations following the release of July CPI.
Resources:
Gold remains elevated, trading above US$4,600 per ounce in late August, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, central bank demand and broader investor interest in safe-haven assets.
Oil prices remain volatile amid ongoing tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz. Brent crude fell back towards the mid-US$80s per barrel in late August as renewed diplomatic talks raised hopes of improving supply conditions.
Copper prices remain close to record levels, supported by tight inventories, supply constraints and continued demand linked to electrification, infrastructure and Artificial Intelligence investment.
Agriculture:
Seasonal conditions remain mixed across Australia.
Parts of South Australia are experiencing significantly improved rainfall and crop expectations, while areas of Western Australia continue to face dry conditions that may limit yield potential across some winter cropping regions.
Livestock markets remain relatively resilient, supported by export demand, although fuel, fertiliser and broader operating costs continue to influence farm margins.